Last week: 8-7
Season: 42-38
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| "No lie, like, piles of money! Like Scrooge McDuck!" |
Last week my double pick went horribly wrong in that LSU drubbing of Auburn, so why return to it? Because I feel this is a great bet here. USC always plays well at home, but Stanford's offense is insane this year. Their lowest point total was 37 against a strangely anemic Arizona crew. Both teams have dynamic weapons on offense, with Marc "Rich Boy" Tyler looking to shine in that Trojan backfield under the lights. USC's defense should stifle Andrew Luck early, but this has shootout written all over it. I'm taking over 60 points. As for the spread, I just have a hunch Stanford will pull away late, giving them a modest and well-earned 10 point win. Stanford covers the 8.
Clemson (6) at Georgia Tech, 8PM EST unlisted
This blog is more about highlighting the best games, so if you're wondering why I don't even bother with spreads on some of these is because this one is 3.5, and that's just no fun. You know what else isn't too much fun? Both these teams burning my ass on multiple occasions this year. Gah, I hate the ACC. I really hope Pitt comes in next year and absolutely runs roughshod over you lilies. Back on track, Tajh Boyd is gawdamn ridiculous with his 24/3 TD/INT line. With GT losing last week in bad fashion to Miami (who, in turn, lost at home to lowly UVA), all things are looking up for a Clemson win...except for their shitfest defense. Tevin Washington should be more than capable in controlling the clock and leading the whole GT offense to gash the Tigers on the ground. It's an unpopular pick, but I like this as the upset...GT wins 37-29.
(11) Oklahoma at (10) Kansas State [+13.5], 3:30PM EST ESPN
Another home dog on the docket? Getting nearly two touchdowns? I've seen enough of Kansas State this year to realize that they started out rough around the edges, but have rallied around Collin Klein's legs and arms and have really gotten into a groove. Their offense can hang with the Sooners, and at home, I think a little magic is possible. And really, when's the last time you've seen a higher ranked team at home as such a huge underdog? I can't promise two big upsets this week, but I'm taking Kansas State to cover the 13.5.
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| "BRB ladies, gotta do football really well." |
Word on the street is that Mark Richt needs this game to keep his job this year. That seems drastic, but that dude also buckles under pressure something fierce. Oh, and Georgia being something like 5-80 against Florida since they started playing might be somewhat of a psychological factor. I won't check the validity of that stat, but John Brantley is coming back, so GOOOOO GATORS! Florida wins 27-16.
(9) Michigan St. at (13) Nebraska [49 O/U], 12PM EST ESPN
I like Nebraska to win here, but that's not the fun bet here...it's the over/under. Normally, I would see a spread like that and it would be a no brainer over, but the early start time really makes things interesting. Offenses stumble out of the gate and sometimes never recover in pre-noon kickoffs, but I can really see this as a 28-24 type of game with highlight plays and turnovers abound. I'm taking the over on this one, kids.
(12) Wisconsin at Ohio State, 8PM EST ESPN
Just because I love Russell Wilson and hate everything Ohio State stands for, I'm taking the Badgers to dominate this game by a margin of five Ron Daynes and three Terrelle Pryor and Greg Oden milk carton profiles. (wow, Greg Oden's become so irrelevant I actually had to spell check his last name...)
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| If you can find a better picture of Big Ben, you're a liar |
Can both of these teams lose? As an NFC supporter, these two toolbags have represented the AFC a staggering seven times in the Superbowl in the last ten years. Damn, I don't think people even remember that the Panthers and Cardinals made it to Superbowls this decade. Both of these defenses have severely underachieved this year, with Pittsburgh especially not being able to force turnovers and get off the field. I don't think it's out of the question to see 900 combined passing yards in this one, so yeah, I'm taking over 52 on this one.
Redskins at Bills, 4PM EST FOX
Do people realize that there's only FOUR NFL games this weekend that feature opposing teams without losing records? And one of them is this potential stinker. I'd like to see more of Fred Jackson and his inflated stats in action, but I can't imagine anyone outside of DC or Western New York wanting to see this over the Pats/Steelers up there. With turmoil at quarterback and Tim Hightower officially done for the season, Buffalo should be on track for a bounce back win. I'm taking the Bills 27-13.
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| If only Joe Haden played in a relevant city... |
At 5-1, I still feel inclined to pick 49ers games with reckless abandon, and at 3-3 I think it's just swell that people are still talking about Cleveland, even after their 6-3 home win over Seattle in front of 66,000 people. I think everyone enjoys a good defensive showing, but could you imagine if the Browns lost that game 6-3? Are they even over Lebron yet? Will Peyton Hillis even play? The answers are mass suicide/homicide/looting, not in the slightest and no one even cares about the NBA anymore, and no. Fuck, I mean, I don't believe in the Madden Curse, but homeboy should have just deferred to Mike Vick on principal. In a matchup of two greatly underrated defenses and the aforementioned Hillis not available, I'm taking under 38.5.
All stats by CBSsports.com, all spreads and lines by VegasInsider.com
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